Showing posts with label absorption rate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label absorption rate. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

MLS MONTHLY REPORT NOV ‘09


TAMPA BAY AREA (tri-county) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 18,307 9,278 27585

Total Units Pending: 2,407 954 3,361

Total Units Sold: 2,030 632 2,662

Absorption rate: 11.09% 6.81% 9.65%

Avg Days on Market 88 days 111 days 93 days

Months of Inventory 9.0 mons 14.7 mons 10.4 mons

Sold vs List Price % 94% 92% 94%

Sold vs Original List Price % 75% 79% 76%


PINELLAS COUNTY Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 6,681 5,519 12,200

Total Units Pending: 801 448 1249

Total Units Sold: 679 320 999

Absorption rate: 10.16% 5.80% 8.19%

Avg Days on Market 80 days 117 days 92 days

Months of Inventory 9.8 mons 17.2 mons 12.2 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 91% 93%

Sold vs Original List Price % 84% 75% 81%


N. BEACHES (476-478, 370-375) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 590 1411 2,001

Total Units Pending: 38 87 125

Total Units Sold: 34 72 106

Absorption rate: 4.07% 5.10% 5.30%

Avg Days on Market 111 days 123 days 119 days

Months of Inventory 17.4 mons 19.6 mons 18.9 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 92% 92%

Sold vs Original List Price % 79% 83% 81%

Tuesday, September 15, 2009

August stats are in and they aren't half bad. We have not fropped through 28,000 units yet, which I would have liked to see. I still believe our "healthy" Tampa Bay area levels are around 15,000 - 18,000 homes for sale. So we are slightly less than double our normal inventory, which is still applying downward pressure to prices.

I am amazed that some of average sale prices are up to 25% LOWER than their original listing price and around 85% - 90% of the current list price.

However, there are buyers out there. Recently wrote an offer for a client for a small bank-owned forclosure that was on the market for just 3 days. Wouldn't you know the realtor had 10+ offers in under 72 hours of listing the property! Normal retail homes in average condition will find their values similiar to what they were in 2002 & 2003...you can't change it and the new privacy fence or low flow toilets will not add extra value to the home.

MLS MONTHLY REPORT August ‘09


TAMPA BAY AREA (tri-county) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 19,009 8,999 28008

Total Units Pending: 3,252 988 4,240

Total Units Sold: 2,031 578 2,609

Absorption rate: 10.68% 6.42% 9.32%

Avg Days on Market 96 days 103 days 98 days

Months of Inventory 9.4 mons 15.6 mons 10.7 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 91% 93%

Sold vs Original List Price % 83% 80% 82%


PINELLAS COUNTY Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 6,927 5,442 12,369

Total Units Pending: 1073 459 1532

Total Units Sold: 653 297 950

Absorption rate: 9.42% 5.46% 7.68%

Avg Days on Market 86 days 110 days 94 days

Months of Inventory 10.6 mons 18.3 mons 13.0 mons

Sold vs List Price % 91% 90% 91%

Sold vs Original List Price % 78% 79% 78%


N. BEACHES (476-478, 370-375) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 588 1511 2,099

Total Units Pending: 55 103 158

Total Units Sold: 36 80 116

Absorption rate: 6.12% 5.29% 5.53%

Avg Days on Market 130 days 124 days 126 days

Months of Inventory 16.3 mons 18.9 mons 18.1 mons

Sold vs List Price % 83% 88% 85%

Sold vs Original List Price % 72% 78% 75%

Monday, August 17, 2009

Well, the summer rush has come to an end. Much like the peak we saw in 2006, we may have just experienced another peak (I believe future trends will bear this out) in our 2009 home buying trend. Our market has been having meaningful month over month gains, especially in our monthly ABSORPTION RATE, but that has come to an end with July's numbers. Absorption rates for each category - Tampa Bay area, Pinellas County, and the Beaches - all decreased in July compared to June's rates. I believe this to be a seasonal decrease and not indicative of a steeper market decline.

What did continue to go down was our inventory - YEAH! When our inventory gets back to pre-runup levels - less than 20,000 units and closer to 15,000 units - we will see home prices stabilize. Unfortunately, we are still at 28,000+ units. at our current rate of sale, there will be no price stabilization until AT LEAST Summer 2010...more likely END of 2010. It's not the best news, but it is the light at the end of the tunnel.

The Beaches continue to be extremely soft, compared with Tampa Bay and Pinellas County as a whole.

MLS MONTHLY REPORT July ‘09


TAMPA BAY AREA (tri-county) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 19,354 9,261 28615

Total Units Pending: 3,243 973 4,216

Total Units Sold: 2,274 662 2936

Absorption rate: 11.75% 7.15% 10.3%

Avg Days on Market 101 days 106 days 102 days

Months of Inventory 8.5 mons 14.0 mons 9.7 mons

Sold vs List Price % 94% 91% 93%

Sold vs Original List Price % 82% 80% 81%


PINELLAS COUNTY Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 7,039 5,599 12,638

Total Units Pending: 1029 457 1486

Total Units Sold: 733 354 1087

Absorption rate: 10.4% 6.32% 8.6%

Avg Days on Market 85 days 110 days 93 days

Months of Inventory 9.6 mons 15.8 mons 11.6 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 89% 92%

Sold vs Original List Price % 85% 79% 83%


N. BEACHES (476-478, 370-375) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 599 1535 2,134

Total Units Pending: 52 99 151

Total Units Sold: 32 86 118

Absorption rate: 5.34% 5.6% 5.53%

Avg Days on Market 115 days 151 days 141 days

Months of Inventory 18.7 mons 17.8 mons 18.1 mons

Sold vs List Price % 88% 90% 89%

Sold vs Original List Price % 81% 77% 78%

Monday, June 29, 2009

The May numbers are in and the most noticeable trend is our sinking inventory, which is 1 half of the supply demand equation. Inventory is hovering at the 31,000 unit mark, which is the lowest level in at least 2 years. Is the market stabilizing...yes. But like a train coming to a stop, it will take time.

Another notable number is the ABSORPTION RATE for Tampa Bay area homes...almost 10%. we haven't seen double digit absorption rates in about 18 months. In laymans terms, roughly 1 out of every 10 homes listed for sale actually sold in the month of May.

Beach properties are stabilizing, but the Days on Market is HORRENDOUS. Beach condo sellers can expect their average sale time to be 154 day...5 months! By pricing competitively and being open to buyer incentives, you can shave this time way down.

MLS MONTHLY REPORT May ‘09


TAMPA BAY AREA (tri-county) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 20,722 10,078 30800

Total Units Pending: 3,240 1053 4,293

Total Units Sold: 2,019 576 2,595

Absorption rate: 9.75% 5.72% 8.43%

Avg Days on Market 105 days 117 days 107 days

Months of Inventory 10.3 mons 17.8 mons 11.9 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 90% 93%

Sold vs Original List Price % 82% 80% 82%


PINELLAS COUNTY Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 7,472 5,978 13,450

Total Units Pending: 995 543 1538

Total Units Sold: 641 322 963

Absorption rate: 8.58% 5.39% 7.16%

Avg Days on Market 103 days 126 days 111 days

Months of Inventory 11.7 mons 18.6 mons 14.0 mons

Sold vs List Price % 92% 89% 91%

Sold vs Original List Price % 80% 80% 80%


N. BEACHES (476-478, 370-375) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 645 1702 2,347

Total Units Pending: 59 137 196

Total Units Sold: 37 90 127

Absorption rate: 5.74% 5.29% 5.41%

Avg Days on Market 134 days 154 days 148 days

Months of Inventory 17.4 mons 18.9 mons 18.5 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 89% 90%

Sold vs Original List Price % 79% 79% 79%

Monday, February 16, 2009

January home sale stats (compiled from our Tampa Bay MLS) are attached to this email and, as expected, the numbers are somewhat sobering. However, I expect the next 3 months to be very fruitful for buyers and sellers alike. NOW is the time to ensure your property is priced correctly for the current market. If you haven’t noticed it already, Buyers are out there grabbing flyers and calling off signs.

The brightest spot in the latest numbers is that our available inventory continues to decline, but not as fast as we would like to see. Throughout the tri-county area, just 4.59% of all available properties sold, leaving us with almost 2 years of inventory at current levels. I expect this number to shrink as our buying season progresses. HOWEVER…properties are currently selling at just 72% - 80% of their ORIGINAL LIST PRICE, which means we are over-pricing many of our properties from the outset. The beach continues to be a weaker segment of the home sale market, but that is expected to change as we experience an influx of visitors.

If you have any questions about the info provided, pls call, email, or text me. Below are 2 graphs depicting tri-county property sales (home & condo):






Monday, November 17, 2008

Real estate continues to take a hit in the Tampa Bay area as we grapple with 3 times the normal amount of inventory and only 6 out of 100 available properties selling in the Tampa metro area.

The beaches, spurred by investors and "flippers", are still in sticker shock as only 3 out 100 available properties sold in October.

The global credit crises may be to blame for the lower than anticipated numbers, but in the end we are still in a supply vs. demand correction. Condos are doing only half as well are SFH, but both types of homeowners are seeing sales prices at appr 80% - 85% of the original sales price...


MLS MONTHLY REPORT October ‘08


TAMPA BAY AREA (tri-county) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 26,431 11,677 38,108

Total Units Pending: 2,074 534 2,608

Total Units Sold: 1,671 446 2,117

Absorption rate: 6.32% 3.82% 5.56%

Avg Days on Market 95 days 107 days 97 days

Months of Inventory 15.8 mons 26.2 mons 18.0 mons

Sold vs List Price % 93% 90% 93%

Sold vs Original List Price % 84% 82% 84%


PINELLAS COUNTY Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 9,253 6,672 15,925

Total Units Pending: 627 239 866

Total Units Sold: 547 227 774

Absorption rate: 5.91% 3.40 % 4.86%

Avg Days on Market 88 days 110 days 95 days

Months of Inventory 16.9 mons 29.4 mons 20.6 mons

Sold vs List Price % 92% 89% 91%

Sold vs Original List Price % 85% 81% 84%


N. BEACHES (476-478, 370-375) Homes Condos Total Units

Total Units Available: 700 1785 2,485

Total Units Pending: 26 57 83

Total Units Sold: 20 48 68

Absorption rate: 2.86% 2.69% 2.74%

Avg Days on Market 104 days 125 days 118 days

Months of Inventory 35.0 mons 37.2 mons 29.9 mons

Sold vs List Price % 90% 87% 88%

Sold vs Original List Price % 83% 79% 80%